Global Airline Traffic Forecast Downgraded After Dismal Summer

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) downgraded its traffic forecast for 2020 to reflect a weaker-than-expected recovery, as evidenced by a dismal end to the summer travel season in the Northern Hemisphere. IATA now expects full-year 2020 traffic to be down 66% compared to 2019. The previous estimate was for a 63% decline.

U.S. Air Travel Consumer Report: June 2020 and 2nd Quarter 2020 Numbers

The 10 marketing network carriers reported 237,264 scheduled domestic flights in June 2020 compared to 192,412 flights in May 2020 and 694,469 flights in June 2019. Of those 237,264 scheduled flights, 0.43%, 1,030 flights, were canceled. As a result of schedule reductions and cancellations, the carriers reported operating 236,234 flights in June 2020, compared to the all-time monthly low of 180,151 flights in May 2020 and 194,390 flights in April 2020.

June 2020 U.S. Airline Traffic Data

U.S. airlines carried 16.5 million systemwide (domestic and international) scheduled service passengers in June 2020, unadjusted, according to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics’ (BTS), down 80.3% from June 2019.